Midnight Tilling
Common · Instant
5.6PlayableRank 130 of 264
56.3%Rank 103 of 264 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
Good playable that always makes the cut (5.6/10).
Why. A two-mana instant that mills four cards, then you may return a permanent card from among them to hand. Cheap filtering and graveyard value, castable at the end of the opponent's turn.
Risks. It does not affect the board, and the mill can cost you important cards. With no good permanent among the four, it is a wasted play.
In the draft. A decent card for a green deck with graveyard effects. Take it in the middle of your pool, after your creatures and removal.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +0.4 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Common: rank 7 of 81
- Green: rank 22 of 40
- Cost 2: rank 35 of 72
- Average pick: 9.0 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy56.5 % · 52,204 games
- 2 copies56.8 % · 15,560 games
- 3 copies58.7 % · 1,943 games
- 4 copies or more56.5 % · 200 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks57.0 % · 22,655 games
- Next two weeks56.6 % · 8,211 games
- After that56.2 % · 3,014 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Darkness Descends1,070 games · 53.9 % (instead of 50.3% expected)
- Emptiness1,800 games · 57.7 % (instead of 55.7% expected)
- Curious Colossus830 games · 60.1 % (instead of 58.4% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Springleaf Drum619 games · 44.9 % (instead of 52.3% expected)
- Puca's Eye942 games · 50.4 % (instead of 54.2% expected)
Where it is played
B/G · 59 %
Played in 13% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
21. Bristlebane Battler
7.7
44. Eclipsed Kithkin
7.0
45. Morcant's Eyes
7.0
50. Lluwen, Imperfect Naturalist
6.9
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.