Bristlebane Battler

Rare · Creature — Kithkin Soldier

Pick rating

7.7Very goodRank 21 of 264

Observed strength

59.8%Rank 42 of 264 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

One of the very best rares of the format (7.7/10).

Why. For two mana, a 6/6 trampler with ward 2 that enters with five -1/-1 counters, so a 1/1. Every other creature you play removes a counter. After a few creatures it is a huge attacker that resists removal.

Risks. Early on it is a 1/1 doing little against a faster opponent. It needs several creatures to grow large.

In the draft. Very good in a green deck with many creatures and a smooth curve, take it early. Poor in a deck that plays few creatures.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game59.8 %(set average : 55.7 %)
Card in the opening hand63.6 %(set average : 54.5 %)
Card drawn during the game56.9 %(set average : 56.5 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +6.3 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)88.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Rare: rank 11 of 61
  • Green: rank 2 of 40
  • Cost 2: rank 2 of 72
  • Average pick: 2.1 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

9,787 games58.5 %(all pairs : 57.0 %)
8,309 games58.2 %(all pairs : 57.0 %)
1,171 games55.3 %(all pairs : 57.0 %)
914 games54.5 %(all pairs : 57.0 %)
706 games52.4 %(all pairs : 57.0 %)
504 games53.4 %(all pairs : 57.0 %)
494 games52.0 %(all pairs : 57.0 %)
393 games50.1 %(all pairs : 57.0 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand58.8 %· 2,452 games
All players, card in hand60.1 %· 10,029 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)59.7 %(set average : 57.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)54.2 %(set average : 52.9 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy57.0 % · 22,657 games
  • 2 copies58.0 % · 951 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks60.6 % · 7,060 games
  • Next two weeks59.2 % · 2,189 games
  • After that59.0 % · 780 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Eclipsed Kithkin

    44. Eclipsed Kithkin

    7.0
  • Morcant's Eyes

    45. Morcant's Eyes

    7.0
  • Lluwen, Imperfect Naturalist

    50. Lluwen, Imperfect Naturalist

    6.9
  • Thoughtweft Lieutenant

    68. Thoughtweft Lieutenant

    6.6

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.