Tweeze

Common · Instant

Pick rating

5.8PlayableRank 121 of 264

Observed strength

54.6%Rank 149 of 264 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

Good playable that always makes the cut (5.8/10).

Why. A three-mana instant that deals 3 damage to any target, with the option to discard a card to draw one. A classic removal spell that can also finish an opponent.

Risks. Three damage does not kill bigger creatures, and three mana for limited removal is fine but no more. Discarding to draw does not replace a real draw.

In the draft. A decent common removal spell for a red deck. Take it in the middle of your pool and add more efficient answers if you find them.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game54.6 %(set average : 55.7 %)
Card in the opening hand52.2 %(set average : 54.5 %)
Card drawn during the game56.2 %(set average : 56.5 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +2.0 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)83.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 5 of 81
  • Red: rank 15 of 40
  • Cost 3: rank 29 of 66
  • Average pick: 5.9 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

43,887 games55.6 %(all pairs : 53.9 %)
28,820 games53.9 %(all pairs : 53.9 %)
6,891 games51.9 %(all pairs : 53.9 %)
5,460 games52.9 %(all pairs : 53.9 %)
5,108 games52.6 %(all pairs : 53.9 %)
2,319 games50.6 %(all pairs : 53.9 %)
1,850 games50.8 %(all pairs : 53.9 %)
1,538 games48.8 %(all pairs : 53.9 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand54.4 %· 13,036 games
All players, card in hand55.0 %· 51,612 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)55.3 %(set average : 57.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)52.5 %(set average : 52.9 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy53.9 % · 72,177 games
  • 2 copies54.0 % · 24,341 games
  • 3 copies53.9 % · 4,153 games
  • 4 copies or more56.1 % · 446 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks54.7 % · 34,407 games
  • Next two weeks55.8 % · 12,608 games
  • After that55.1 % · 4,597 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

R/U · 61 %R/W · 53 %

Played in 19% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Eclipsed Boggart

    72. Eclipsed Boggart

    6.4
  • Eclipsed Flamekin

    73. Eclipsed Flamekin

    6.4
  • Meek Attack

    101. Meek Attack

    6.0
  • Noggle Robber

    102. Noggle Robber

    6.0

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.