Wary Farmer

Common · Creature — Kithkin Citizen

Pick rating

4.8WeakRank 193 of 264

Observed strength

54.8%Rank 146 of 264 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A solid playable that rarely gets cut (4.8/10).

Why. A hybrid 3/3 for three mana, a good body for the cost. If another creature entered under your control this turn, you surveil 1 at your end step.

Risks. The bonus is minor: the surveil needs you to play other creatures, and the 3/3 has no other ability.

In the draft. A good mid-curve common for a green or white deck. It slots easily into green-white.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game54.8 %(set average : 55.7 %)
Card in the opening hand54.8 %(set average : 54.5 %)
Card drawn during the game54.8 %(set average : 56.5 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +0.3 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)67.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 37 of 81
  • Multicolour: rank 39 of 49
  • Cost 3: rank 48 of 66
  • Average pick: 7.4 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

46,252 games56.7 %(all pairs : 55.0 %)
10,463 games54.0 %(all pairs : 55.0 %)

splash

5,870 games53.2 %(all pairs : 55.0 %)

splash

3,562 games52.0 %(all pairs : 55.0 %)
2,046 games50.0 %(all pairs : 55.0 %)
1,720 games50.4 %(all pairs : 55.0 %)

splash

1,686 games52.8 %(all pairs : 55.0 %)

splash

1,400 games48.4 %(all pairs : 55.0 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand54.5 %· 9,025 games
All players, card in hand55.5 %· 38,333 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)57.9 %(set average : 57.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)52.0 %(set average : 52.9 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy54.5 % · 56,576 games
  • 2 copies55.8 % · 18,265 games
  • 3 copies57.2 % · 3,810 games
  • 4 copies or more57.1 % · 445 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks55.9 % · 25,929 games
  • Next two weeks55.0 % · 8,987 games
  • After that53.8 % · 3,417 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

G/W · 72 %B/W · 26 %

Played in 15% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Brigid's Command

    13. Brigid's Command

    8.3
  • Ajani, Outland Chaperone

    15. Ajani, Outland Chaperone

    8.1
  • Trystan, Callous Cultivator // Trystan, Penitent Culler

    25. Trystan, Callous Cultivator // Trystan, Penitent Culler

    7.6
  • Eclipsed Elf

    29. Eclipsed Elf

    7.4

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.