Lost in Space

Common · Instant

Pick rating

5.8PlayableRank 112 of 261

Observed strength

56.3%Rank 111 of 287 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.0%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

Good playable that always makes the cut (5.8/10).

Why. A four-mana instant that sends an artifact or creature to the top or bottom of its owner's library (their choice), then surveils 1. Against a big threat it is flexible removal.

Risks. The owner chooses: if they put it on top they redraw it and you only gained tempo. Four mana is a lot for this effect.

In the draft. A good blue common, especially in UG. Take it as tempo removal, after permanent removal.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game56.3 %(set average : 56.0 %)
Card in the opening hand52.8 %(set average : 54.8 %)
Card drawn during the game58.4 %(set average : 56.8 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +1.7 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)48.0 %(set average : 62.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 13 of 81
  • Blue: rank 16 of 41
  • Cost 4: rank 12 of 40
  • Average pick: 8.8 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

28,601 games57.9 %(all pairs : 55.9 %)
21,991 games55.1 %(all pairs : 55.9 %)
19,163 games56.3 %(all pairs : 55.9 %)
11,933 games54.0 %(all pairs : 55.9 %)
1,976 games54.3 %(all pairs : 55.9 %)
1,632 games52.8 %(all pairs : 55.9 %)
1,147 games52.1 %(all pairs : 55.9 %)
965 games54.5 %(all pairs : 55.9 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand55.5 %· 9,947 games
All players, card in hand56.7 %· 44,999 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)58.2 %(set average : 57.6 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)53.6 %(set average : 53.0 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy55.8 % · 72,553 games
  • 2 copies56.5 % · 15,907 games
  • 3 copies54.0 % · 1,427 games
  • 4 copies or more57.3 % · 124 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks56.9 % · 28,576 games
  • Next two weeks56.4 % · 12,154 games
  • After that56.3 % · 4,269 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

B/U · 62 %U/W · 43 %

Played in 16% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Space-Time Anomaly

    44. Space-Time Anomaly

    7.0
  • Tractor Beam

    67. Tractor Beam

    6.6
  • Uthros Scanship

    105. Uthros Scanship

    6.0
  • Selfcraft Mechan

    145. Selfcraft Mechan

    5.4

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.