Ice Magic

Common · Instant

Pick rating

6.2GoodRank 94 of 294

Observed strength

58.2%Rank 78 of 341 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.4%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

Good playable that always makes the cut (6.2/10).

Why. A flexible tiered instant: for two mana, bounce a creature; for four, its owner puts it on the top or bottom of their library; for eight, they shuffle it in. Cheap tempo early, or a heavier answer late.

Risks. The first mode only bounces, and the second lets the owner choose the top of their library. The expensive modes are slow, and nothing here touches noncreature permanents.

In the draft. A good blue common that adapts to the game. Take it fairly high in a tempo deck.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game58.2 %(set average : 56.4 %)
Card in the opening hand54.5 %(set average : 55.2 %)
Card drawn during the game60.5 %(set average : 57.2 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +3.5 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)89.0 %(set average : 62.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 14 of 90
  • Blue: rank 17 of 41
  • Cost 2: rank 21 of 63
  • Average pick: 5.5 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

66,338 games58.5 %(all pairs : 56.5 %)
42,431 games56.1 %(all pairs : 56.5 %)
35,761 games56.3 %(all pairs : 56.5 %)
25,184 games56.3 %(all pairs : 56.5 %)
13,151 games55.1 %(all pairs : 56.5 %)
8,388 games51.9 %(all pairs : 56.5 %)
4,234 games53.5 %(all pairs : 56.5 %)
2,562 games52.2 %(all pairs : 56.5 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand57.0 %· 28,174 games
All players, card in hand58.4 %· 110,624 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)59.4 %(set average : 58.6 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)53.6 %(set average : 52.9 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy55.9 % · 140,494 games
  • 2 copies57.3 % · 53,817 games
  • 3 copies58.9 % · 10,602 games
  • 4 copies or more60.5 % · 1,495 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks58.4 % · 61,418 games
  • Next two weeks58.5 % · 37,725 games
  • After that58.1 % · 11,481 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

R/U · 72 %G/U · 66 %

Played in 27% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • The Emperor of Palamecia // The Lord Master of Hell

    21. The Emperor of Palamecia // The Lord Master of Hell

    7.8
  • Ultros, Obnoxious Octopus

    36. Ultros, Obnoxious Octopus

    7.4
  • Il Mheg Pixie

    47. Il Mheg Pixie

    7.0
  • Sahagin

    74. Sahagin

    6.6

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.