Lake-town Mariners // Gone Fishing
Uncommon · Creature — Human Citizen // Instant — Adventure
4.2WeakRank 160 of 188
51.1%Rank 159 of 179 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.5%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
A good playable, but is sometimes cut (4.2/10).
Why. A big 6/5 with vigilance and ward 2 for six mana, and a four-mana Adventure that exiles then returns two of your creatures or lands. You retrigger enter effects or protect your creatures in response to removal.
Risks. Six mana with two blue (UU) is expensive. The Adventure does nothing alone without creatures with enter effects, and only protects if you have the mana in response.
In the draft. A top-of-the-curve choice for a blue deck, without priority: take it late, one copy is enough.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +1.2 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Uncommon: rank 48 of 55
- Blue: rank 25 of 28
- Cost 6: rank 7 of 10
- Average pick: 9.7 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy51.3 % · 10,198 games
- 2 copies49.9 % · 633 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks52.2 % · 4,191 games
- Next two weeks50.1 % · 623 games
- After that51.6 % · 380 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Wizard's Staff228 games · 42.5 % (instead of 36.1% expected)
- Woodland Weavemaster1,521 games · 53.5 % (instead of 47.3% expected)
- Thranduil's Company1,456 games · 56.6 % (instead of 50.9% expected)
- Thranduil, the Elvenking295 games · 48.8 % (instead of 43.1% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Bilbo's Deadly Slice683 games · 46.4 % (instead of 52.0% expected)
- Roads Go Ever, Ever On548 games · 45.8 % (instead of 51.0% expected)
- Ori, Keeper of Songs604 games · 46.7 % (instead of 50.5% expected)
Other cards of the same cost and colours
121. Bard, King of Dale
5.0
159. Thranduil's Decree
4.2
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.