Old Fat Spider
Uncommon · Creature — Spider
3.5WeakRank 170 of 188
52.6%Rank 135 of 179 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.5%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
A good playable, but is sometimes cut (3.5/10).
Why. A huge 6/7 with reach that locks down the sky and can't be blocked by creatures with power 2 or less, which makes it very hard for many decks to stop. Targeting the spider with an opposing spell or ability gives you a card: targeted answers cost the opponent dearly.
Risks. Six mana, two of them green (GG), for a creature with no enters effect: it changes nothing before turn 6. Creatures with power 3 or more block it normally, and an effect that doesn't target (sacrifice, sweeper) ignores it.
In the draft. A good top end for a green deck, but not a priority. Take it when it comes late, without having more than one or two: the deck needs a low curve.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -0.8 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Uncommon: rank 51 of 55
- Green: rank 21 of 28
- Cost 6: rank 8 of 10
- Average pick: 7.0 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy53.9 % · 21,056 games
- 2 copies52.9 % · 2,524 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks53.2 % · 7,616 games
- Next two weeks52.4 % · 1,499 games
- After that51.8 % · 902 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Through the Forest Gate247 games · 53.0 % (instead of 46.6% expected)
- Roll-Roll-Roll-Roll355 games · 49.9 % (instead of 43.8% expected)
- Thranduil, the Elvenking643 games · 49.5 % (instead of 45.7% expected)
- Key to the Side-Door306 games · 52.6 % (instead of 49.0% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Lakeshore Apothecary1,810 games · 48.9 % (instead of 52.9% expected)
- Bilbo, Thief in the Night441 games · 49.7 % (instead of 53.4% expected)
- Patient Instructor1,376 games · 50.9 % (instead of 54.0% expected)
Where it is played
B/G · 40 %G/U · 31 %
Played in 7.6% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
99. Cantankerous Keepers
5.5
174. Boughside Wanderers
2.0
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.