Patient Instructor

Common · Creature — Human Citizen

Pick rating

5.8PlayableRank 82 of 188

Observed strength

58.4%Rank 41 of 179 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.5%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

It wins more than its rating suggests.

Why this gap?

The pick rating is a prior: it is for choosing a card before there are results. The observed strength comes from real games, and the win rate of a card is stable from one week to the next. The gap often comes from a card that is easy to replace at the pick but very efficient once played, from a good archetype that carries it, or from a flaw of our rating: in a set that already has many games, the results are more reliable than the rating.

Good playable that always makes the cut (5.8/10).

Why. A 2/2 with vigilance for three mana and recruit on entering: draw then discard, and if you discard a nonland card, a 1/1 Human Soldier token. You filter your hand and sometimes add a second body. Vigilance lets it attack and defend.

Risks. The body is small, and the recruit is mostly worth it if you have a card to discard, an extra land or a dead card. With no pressure on the board, it doesn't scare the opponent.

In the draft. A decent common for blue and white decks (the hybrid cost accepts either color). Take it over three-mana creatures with no effect.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game58.4 %(set average : 56.5 %)
Card in the opening hand56.4 %(set average : 55.7 %)
Card drawn during the game59.6 %(set average : 57.0 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +4.1 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)82.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 9 of 65
  • Multicolour: rank 15 of 26
  • Cost 3: rank 24 of 46
  • Average pick: 7.0 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

47,902 games57.1 %(all pairs : 56.3 %)
13,418 games57.8 %(all pairs : 56.3 %)

splash

7,548 games53.8 %(all pairs : 56.3 %)

splash

5,896 games52.7 %(all pairs : 56.3 %)

splash

3,221 games56.0 %(all pairs : 56.3 %)

splash

2,940 games55.0 %(all pairs : 56.3 %)

splash

2,379 games58.6 %(all pairs : 56.3 %)

splash

1,193 games54.1 %(all pairs : 56.3 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand58.6 %· 14,036 games
All players, card in hand58.3 %· 55,365 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)60.9 %(set average : 60.8 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)51.7 %(set average : 51.5 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy55.5 % · 40,878 games
  • 2 copies56.5 % · 29,151 games
  • 3 copies57.6 % · 12,696 games
  • 4 copies or more58.8 % · 4,727 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks58.2 % · 35,602 games
  • Next two weeks58.1 % · 12,428 games
  • After that59.2 % · 7,335 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

U/W · 81 %B/U · 77 %

Played in 27% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • The Mountain-king's Return

    9. The Mountain-king's Return

    8.3
  • Great Gilded Boat

    22. Great Gilded Boat

    7.4
  • Elrond, Moon-Reader

    42. Elrond, Moon-Reader

    6.6
  • Bard the Bowman

    58. Bard the Bowman

    6.3

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.