Bilbo, Thief in the Night
Mythic · Legendary Creature — Halfling Rogue
7.4Very goodRank 20 of 188
58.4%Rank 44 of 179 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.5%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
A very good mythic of the format (7.4/10).
Why. A 2/2 for two mana that gets value from the graveyard. When it attacks, you may cast an artifact, instant or sorcery from your graveyard; an instant or sorcery cast this way is exiled afterwards. Spells you cast from anywhere other than your hand cost one less.
Risks. It needs spells in the graveyard and has to survive the attack, which isn't easy with 2 toughness. Without good spells to replay, it's a plain 2/2.
In the draft. A card for a blue spells deck. Take it if you already have several efficient, cheap instants and sorceries; otherwise it's an average card.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +6.5 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Mythic: rank 8 of 15
- Blue: rank 1 of 28
- Cost 2: rank 9 of 55
- Average pick: 2.7 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy55.7 % · 7,840 games
- 2 copies58.4 % · 149 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks58.5 % · 2,606 games
- Next two weeks57.8 % · 836 games
- After that60.6 % · 472 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Moment of Glory883 games · 57.6 % (instead of 52.0% expected)
- Bard's Company1,319 games · 61.5 % (instead of 57.7% expected)
- Silvan Reveler1,025 games · 55.3 % (instead of 51.7% expected)
- Old Fat Spider Can't See Me1,601 games · 54.6 % (instead of 51.1% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Gollum, Silent Slinker // Meager Meal631 games · 50.9 % (instead of 57.3% expected)
- Ravening Warg547 games · 50.6 % (instead of 56.9% expected)
- Velvetwing Butterflies // Gaze in Wonder677 games · 48.3 % (instead of 52.8% expected)
Other cards of the same cost and colours
26. Bilbo, Luckwearer // Burglar's Plot
7.2
47. Master's Councillors
6.6
51. Plunder the Trollshaws
6.5
93. Lakeshore Apothecary
5.6
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.