Brainsurge

Uncommon · Instant

Pick rating

6.6GoodRank 70 of 302

Observed strength

58.6%Rank 47 of 298 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A solid uncommon of the format (6.6/10).

Why. An instant that draws four for three mana, then you put two cards from your hand back on top of your library. In the end you are up two cards, and you choose which ones you redraw over the next turns.

Risks. It is a slow tempo play: it does not change the board. Against an aggressive deck, spending your turn on it can lose you the game. The put-back also means you skip your next fresh draws.

In the draft. A good draw spell for the more controlling blue decks. Take it as a complement, not before a removal or a good creature.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game58.6 %(set average : 56.2 %)
Card in the opening hand55.5 %(set average : 55.6 %)
Card drawn during the game60.5 %(set average : 56.7 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +5.2 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)73.0 %(set average : 67.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 22 of 120
  • Blue: rank 5 of 30
  • Cost 3: rank 15 of 75
  • Average pick: 6.9 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

21,051 games56.6 %(all pairs : 55.1 %)
9,332 games54.2 %(all pairs : 55.1 %)
5,435 games55.6 %(all pairs : 55.1 %)
5,289 games54.7 %(all pairs : 55.1 %)
4,400 games56.5 %(all pairs : 55.1 %)
3,986 games54.0 %(all pairs : 55.1 %)
1,656 games48.5 %(all pairs : 55.1 %)
1,623 games53.3 %(all pairs : 55.1 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand57.9 %· 6,857 games
All players, card in hand57.8 %· 26,595 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)59.0 %(set average : 58.8 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)51.2 %(set average : 51.4 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy54.9 % · 49,860 games
  • 2 copies56.6 % · 5,548 games
  • 3 copies58.1 % · 322 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks57.4 % · 14,610 games
  • Next two weeks57.8 % · 8,677 games
  • After that59.4 % · 3,308 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

B/U · 36 %

Played in 7.3% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Nadu, Winged Wisdom

    13. Nadu, Winged Wisdom

    8.4
  • Invert Polarity

    73. Invert Polarity

    6.6
  • Horrid Shadowspinner

    80. Horrid Shadowspinner

    6.6
  • Serum Visionary

    87. Serum Visionary

    6.4

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.