Nadier's Nightblade

Uncommon · Creature — Elf Warrior

Pick rating

2.0WeakRank 288 of 302

Observed strength

46.8%Rank 287 of 298 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

Not good filler and often gets cut (2.0/10).

Why. A three-mana 1/3 that drains one life each time a token you control leaves the battlefield. With several tokens, the small drains add up.

Risks. It makes no tokens itself. With no token source it is a vanilla 1/3 for three.

In the draft. Filler for black token decks. Without that, leave it.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game46.8 %(set average : 56.2 %)
Card in the opening hand43.6 %(set average : 55.6 %)
Card drawn during the game49.2 %(set average : 56.7 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -3.7 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)20.0 %(set average : 67.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 112 of 120
  • Black: rank 40 of 42
  • Cost 3: rank 74 of 75
  • Average pick: 10.5 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

3,096 games49.2 %(all pairs : 49.2 %)
2,521 games49.6 %(all pairs : 49.2 %)
2,062 games53.4 %(all pairs : 49.2 %)
1,953 games50.1 %(all pairs : 49.2 %)
1,177 games46.6 %(all pairs : 49.2 %)
757 games45.7 %(all pairs : 49.2 %)
660 games44.2 %(all pairs : 49.2 %)
351 games43.6 %(all pairs : 49.2 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand47.2 %· 1,002 games
All players, card in hand46.5 %· 6,154 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)51.5 %(set average : 58.8 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)47.0 %(set average : 51.4 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy49.2 % · 11,970 games
  • 2 copies49.3 % · 1,988 games
  • 3 copies51.5 % · 227 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks45.7 % · 3,657 games
  • Next two weeks47.9 % · 1,805 games
  • After that47.1 % · 692 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Ophiomancer

    19. Ophiomancer

    8.0
  • Toxic Deluge

    21. Toxic Deluge

    7.9
  • Mindless Conscription

    50. Mindless Conscription

    7.0
  • Horrid Shadowspinner

    80. Horrid Shadowspinner

    6.6

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.