Null Elemental Blast

Uncommon · Instant

Pick rating

4.2WeakRank 249 of 302

Observed strength

46.6%Rank 288 of 298 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A good playable, but is sometimes cut (4.2/10).

Why. A one-mana colorless instant that counters a multicolored spell or destroys a multicolored permanent. Against a gold card it is perfect removal, but there are few targets.

Risks. It needs a specific colorless mana, and does nothing to mono-colored cards. It can sit dead in hand all game.

In the draft. A sideboard pick: only play it if your opponents have many multicolored cards. Otherwise do not take it.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game46.6 %(set average : 56.2 %)
Card in the opening hand44.7 %(set average : 55.6 %)
Card drawn during the game47.9 %(set average : 56.7 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -0.6 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)3.0 %(set average : 67.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 93 of 120
  • Colourless: rank 71 of 85
  • Cost 1: rank 24 of 31
  • Average pick: 11.8 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

1,197 games45.2 %(all pairs : 47.3 %)
914 games47.6 %(all pairs : 47.3 %)
837 games53.6 %(all pairs : 47.3 %)
122 games42.6 %(all pairs : 47.3 %)
117 games40.2 %(all pairs : 47.3 %)
108 games56.5 %(all pairs : 47.3 %)
102 games50.0 %(all pairs : 47.3 %)
101 games41.6 %(all pairs : 47.3 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand48.4 %· 153 games
All players, card in hand46.5 %· 1,621 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)50.8 %(set average : 58.8 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)43.9 %(set average : 51.4 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy47.6 % · 3,924 games
  • 2 copies40.0 % · 130 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks46.9 % · 1,208 games
  • Next two weeks46.0 % · 309 games
  • After that44.2 % · 104 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Vexing Bauble

    265. Vexing Bauble

    4.0

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.