Sage of the Unknowable

Common · Creature — Human Wizard

Pick rating

4.4WeakRank 243 of 302

Observed strength

51.6%Rank 243 of 298 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A good playable, but is sometimes cut (4.4/10).

Why. A two-mana 0/4 that blocks small creatures well and taps for colorless mana. That mana only pays for colorless spells and abilities, which suits the set's colorless cards such as the Eldrazi.

Risks. It deals no damage, and its mana is very restricted: in a deck without colorless cards it is just a wall.

In the draft. Playable filler in blue-green with Eldrazi and costly abilities. Take it late, and only if your deck can use that mana.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game51.6 %(set average : 56.2 %)
Card in the opening hand52.3 %(set average : 55.6 %)
Card drawn during the game51.1 %(set average : 56.7 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -0.3 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)49.0 %(set average : 67.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 76 of 80
  • Blue: rank 24 of 30
  • Cost 2: rank 69 of 86
  • Average pick: 9.6 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

39,044 games52.9 %(all pairs : 52.1 %)
22,054 games53.6 %(all pairs : 52.1 %)
3,799 games48.4 %(all pairs : 52.1 %)
3,017 games48.6 %(all pairs : 52.1 %)
2,408 games46.8 %(all pairs : 52.1 %)
1,536 games48.6 %(all pairs : 52.1 %)
1,082 games46.8 %(all pairs : 52.1 %)
410 games45.4 %(all pairs : 52.1 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand50.6 %· 6,738 games
All players, card in hand52.0 %· 38,212 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)55.8 %(set average : 58.8 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)48.4 %(set average : 51.4 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy52.5 % · 52,839 games
  • 2 copies51.3 % · 19,148 games
  • 3 copies50.6 % · 2,839 games
  • 4 copies or more55.0 % · 404 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks52.0 % · 24,733 games
  • Next two weeks51.9 % · 9,997 games
  • After that52.8 % · 3,482 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

R/U · 52 %G/U · 49 %

Played in 10% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Psychic Frog

    9. Psychic Frog

    8.7
  • Volatile Stormdrake

    37. Volatile Stormdrake

    7.4
  • Roil Cartographer

    40. Roil Cartographer

    7.2
  • Riddle Gate Gargoyle

    52. Riddle Gate Gargoyle

    7.0

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.