Iroh's Demonstration
Uncommon · Sorcery — Lesson
7.2Very goodRank 39 of 281
58.8%Rank 47 of 279 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
A solid uncommon of the format (7.2/10).
Why. A two-mode sorcery for two: four damage to a creature, or one damage to each creature your opponents control. Efficient removal either way, and the sweep mode cleans up small tokens or creatures already damaged. It is also a Lesson.
Risks. Four damage does not kill the biggest creatures, and as a sorcery it cannot answer an attack in progress. The sweep mode leaves most creatures alive.
In the draft. Solid red removal that you take without hesitation in a red deck. It also counts as a Lesson, which helps cards that count them.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +4.1 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Uncommon: rank 8 of 110
- Red: rank 4 of 40
- Cost 2: rank 9 of 74
- Average pick: 3.2 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy56.8 % · 50,692 games
- 2 copies57.8 % · 7,090 games
- 3 copies63.2 % · 647 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks59.3 % · 14,333 games
- Next two weeks59.2 % · 7,421 games
- After that59.2 % · 5,451 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Sozin's Comet206 games · 62.1 % (instead of 52.4% expected)
- Fire Lord Zuko451 games · 51.9 % (instead of 47.4% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Zuko's Conviction1,324 games · 50.6 % (instead of 54.5% expected)
- Corrupt Court Official4,201 games · 53.0 % (instead of 56.6% expected)
- Ozai's Cruelty1,302 games · 53.3 % (instead of 56.5% expected)
Where it is played
R/U · 31 %G/R · 30 %
Played in 9.7% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
45. Combustion Technique
7.0
71. Tiger-Dillo
6.6
86. Sokka, Bold Boomeranger
6.3
94. Lightning Strike
6.2
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.