Daggerfang Duo

Common · Creature — Rat Squirrel

Pick rating

4.2WeakRank 218 of 261

Observed strength

55.5%Rank 146 of 265 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.0%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

It wins more than its rating suggests.

Why this gap?

The pick rating is a prior: it is for choosing a card before there are results. The observed strength comes from real games, and the win rate of a card is stable from one week to the next. The gap often comes from a card that is easy to replace at the pick but very efficient once played, from a good archetype that carries it, or from a flaw of our rating: in a set that already has many games, the results are more reliable than the rating.

A good playable, but is sometimes cut (4.2/10).

Why. A three-mana 3/2 with deathtouch. It deters attacks and trades with almost any creature, and the optional mill feeds Threshold.

Risks. Two toughness means small burn kills it, and the mill can cost you a useful card.

In the draft. A good black common to take for the curve, especially in a Threshold deck. A solid mid-pack card.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game55.5 %(set average : 56.0 %)
Card in the opening hand53.9 %(set average : 55.0 %)
Card drawn during the game56.6 %(set average : 56.6 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +1.9 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)76.0 %(set average : 62.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 46 of 81
  • Black: rank 34 of 40
  • Cost 3: rank 53 of 65
  • Average pick: 7.2 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

83,776 games55.5 %(all pairs : 54.6 %)
33,831 games54.0 %(all pairs : 54.6 %)
25,908 games53.9 %(all pairs : 54.6 %)
19,752 games54.8 %(all pairs : 54.6 %)
3,807 games51.6 %(all pairs : 54.6 %)
1,691 games50.4 %(all pairs : 54.6 %)
1,059 games55.3 %(all pairs : 54.6 %)
774 games47.3 %(all pairs : 54.6 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand54.4 %· 18,633 games
All players, card in hand55.6 %· 86,542 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)57.5 %(set average : 58.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)51.7 %(set average : 51.2 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy54.8 % · 118,391 games
  • 2 copies54.1 % · 43,275 games
  • 3 copies54.9 % · 9,196 games
  • 4 copies or more54.8 % · 1,490 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks55.8 % · 50,771 games
  • Next two weeks54.8 % · 25,083 games
  • After that56.1 % · 10,688 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

  • Dawn's Truce381 games · 53.5 % (instead of 50.3% expected)
  • Wishing Well315 games · 54.9 % (instead of 52.9% expected)
  • Spellgyre8,131 games · 54.7 % (instead of 52.7% expected)

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

B/U · 71 %B/G · 64 %

Played in 19% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Zoraline, Cosmos Caller

    14. Zoraline, Cosmos Caller

    8.2
  • Camellia, the Seedmiser

    19. Camellia, the Seedmiser

    7.8
  • Glarb, Calamity's Augur

    20. Glarb, Calamity's Augur

    7.7
  • Darkstar Augur

    21. Darkstar Augur

    7.7

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.