Dawn's Truce
Rare · Instant
4.2WeakRank 219 of 261
48.7%Rank 258 of 265 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.0%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
A good playable, but is sometimes cut (4.2/10).
Why. A two-mana instant giving you and your permanents hexproof. With the gift, your permanents also gain indestructible: a counter to targeted removal and destroy-based sweepers.
Risks. Reactive and situational: it does nothing if the opponent has no removal, and the gift gives them a card.
In the draft. A niche card for a deck with a few key creatures. Generally pass it.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -2.2 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Rare: rank 59 of 60
- White: rank 37 of 40
- Cost 2: rank 70 of 82
- Average pick: 6.8 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy50.3 % · 7,141 games
- 2 copies50.7 % · 136 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks48.6 % · 1,808 games
- Next two weeks48.1 % · 634 games
- After that50.7 % · 270 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Plumecreed Escort405 games · 53.6 % (instead of 49.1% expected)
- Kastral, the Windcrested499 games · 52.5 % (instead of 48.4% expected)
- Finch Formation565 games · 50.4 % (instead of 46.6% expected)
- Agate-Blade Assassin904 games · 53.7 % (instead of 50.2% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- War Squeak401 games · 41.4 % (instead of 46.8% expected)
- Heaped Harvest534 games · 42.9 % (instead of 48.2% expected)
- Tangle Tumbler379 games · 44.9 % (instead of 49.9% expected)
Other cards of the same cost and colours
3. Valley Questcaller
9.1
16. Finneas, Ace Archer
8.1
26. Burrowguard Mentor
7.5
43. Lunar Convocation
7.0
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.