Kastral, the Windcrested

Rare · Legendary Creature — Bird Scout

Pick rating

5.8PlayableRank 115 of 261

Observed strength

56.5%Rank 110 of 265 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.0%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

Good playable that always makes the cut (5.8/10).

Why. A five-mana 4/5 flyer that is a Bird itself. When one or more Birds you control deal combat damage to a player, choose: put a Bird from your hand or graveyard onto the battlefield, +1/+1 counters on your Birds, or draw a card. It can take over a game if it survives.

Risks. It needs a white-blue deck with enough Birds for the counters or the return to matter. Five mana in two colors is demanding, and removal stops it.

In the draft. Very good in a white-blue Birds deck; with few Birds it is still a big flyer. Take it if you are in those colors.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game56.5 %(set average : 56.0 %)
Card in the opening hand54.2 %(set average : 55.0 %)
Card drawn during the game58.0 %(set average : 56.6 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +6.2 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)67.0 %(set average : 62.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Rare: rank 51 of 60
  • Multicolour: rank 23 of 39
  • Cost 5: rank 9 of 26
  • Average pick: 3.0 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

11,705 games53.4 %(all pairs : 52.7 %)
3,667 games53.0 %(all pairs : 52.7 %)

splash

2,473 games53.7 %(all pairs : 52.7 %)

splash

2,201 games52.1 %(all pairs : 52.7 %)

splash

1,932 games51.6 %(all pairs : 52.7 %)
1,382 games50.8 %(all pairs : 52.7 %)

splash

952 games50.6 %(all pairs : 52.7 %)
706 games49.0 %(all pairs : 52.7 %)

splash

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand55.2 %· 2,591 games
All players, card in hand56.3 %· 12,193 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)56.0 %(set average : 58.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)49.5 %(set average : 51.2 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy52.7 % · 24,955 games
  • 2 copies52.3 % · 1,979 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks56.3 % · 7,566 games
  • Next two weeks56.7 % · 3,284 games
  • After that54.9 % · 1,343 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

U/W · 41 %

Played in 3.0% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Season of the Burrow

    10. Season of the Burrow

    8.5
  • Starfall Invocation

    64. Starfall Invocation

    6.6
  • Driftgloom Coyote

    123. Driftgloom Coyote

    5.6
  • Starseer Mentor

    165. Starseer Mentor

    5.2

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.