Hired Claw

Rare · Creature — Lizard Mercenary

Pick rating

9.0BombRank 4 of 261

Observed strength

60.2%Rank 31 of 265 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.0%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

One of the 10 best cards of the set (9.0/10).

Why. A one-mana 1/2 that pings your opponent for 1 whenever you attack with a Lizard (it is one itself), then gets a +1/+1 counter for two mana if the opponent lost life this turn, once each turn. It quickly becomes a real threat.

Risks. To trigger the ping you must attack with a Lizard, which exposes it to blockers, and a 1/2 dies to almost anything. Without pressure, its growth stops.

In the draft. A strong early pick in an aggressive red deck, especially with other Lizards. Without Lizards it loses a lot of value, so look for them alongside.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game60.2 %(set average : 56.0 %)
Card in the opening hand66.4 %(set average : 55.0 %)
Card drawn during the game55.0 %(set average : 56.6 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +5.8 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)80.0 %(set average : 62.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Rare: rank 3 of 60
  • Red: rank 1 of 41
  • Cost 1: rank 1 of 30
  • Average pick: 2.6 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

16,485 games58.4 %(all pairs : 56.6 %)
8,661 games55.4 %(all pairs : 56.6 %)
6,273 games56.1 %(all pairs : 56.6 %)
2,924 games52.9 %(all pairs : 56.6 %)
411 games54.7 %(all pairs : 56.6 %)
344 games54.1 %(all pairs : 56.6 %)
246 games48.8 %(all pairs : 56.6 %)
193 games50.3 %(all pairs : 56.6 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand59.3 %· 3,254 games
All players, card in hand60.1 %· 14,965 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)60.8 %(set average : 58.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)52.3 %(set average : 51.2 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy56.5 % · 33,496 games
  • 2 copies57.5 % · 2,328 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks59.7 % · 9,187 games
  • Next two weeks60.1 % · 3,963 games
  • After that62.4 % · 1,815 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Blacksmith's Talent

    108. Blacksmith's Talent

    5.8
  • Heartfire Hero

    112. Heartfire Hero

    5.8
  • Might of the Meek

    198. Might of the Meek

    4.6
  • War Squeak

    261. War Squeak

    1.4

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.