Heartfire Hero
Uncommon · Creature — Mouse Soldier
5.8PlayableRank 112 of 261
56.7%Rank 104 of 265 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.0%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
Good playable that always makes the cut (5.8/10).
Why. A one-mana red creature that, with Valiant, gets a +1/+1 counter the first time each turn you target it, and deals damage equal to its power to each opponent when it dies. It is awkward to deal with: killing it late is expensive.
Risks. On its own it is a 1/1 with no evasion that dies to anything. It relies on spells or abilities that target it, and removal in response denies the bonus.
In the draft. A good choice in an aggressive red-white deck with tricks. In a deck with no targeting spells, it loses almost all its value.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +2.2 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Uncommon: rank 39 of 100
- Red: rank 11 of 41
- Cost 1: rank 19 of 30
- Average pick: 4.6 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy54.8 % · 51,428 games
- 2 copies55.8 % · 11,360 games
- 3 copies58.5 % · 1,676 games
- 4 copies or more56.8 % · 183 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks56.6 % · 18,211 games
- Next two weeks56.8 % · 7,422 games
- After that56.3 % · 3,285 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Hugs, Grisly Guardian1,615 games · 57.2 % (instead of 54.4% expected)
- Seedpod Squire8,309 games · 55.8 % (instead of 53.0% expected)
- Mabel, Heir to Cragflame9,931 games · 59.3 % (instead of 57.0% expected)
- Short Bow10,515 games · 55.3 % (instead of 53.5% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Lifecreed Duo3,652 games · 50.4 % (instead of 55.0% expected)
- Head of the Homestead6,664 games · 52.6 % (instead of 55.5% expected)
- Ral, Crackling Wit755 games · 50.6 % (instead of 53.3% expected)
Where it is played
R/W · 45 %G/R · 28 %
Played in 6.9% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
4. Hired Claw
9.0
108. Blacksmith's Talent
5.8
198. Might of the Meek
4.6
261. War Squeak
1.4
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.