Nowhere to Run
Uncommon · Enchantment
6.4GoodRank 78 of 271
57.9%Rank 52 of 269 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.9%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
Good playable that always makes the cut (6.4/10).
Why. A two-mana removal with flash: -3/-3 on an opposing creature. On top of that, your spells can target their creatures despite hexproof, and their ward does not trigger.
Risks. -3/-3 only kills creatures with three toughness or less, unless combat helps. It does little against big creatures.
In the draft. A good black removal, cheap and flexible. Take it early; it is even better against hexproof decks.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +6.2 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Uncommon: rank 35 of 100
- Black: rank 7 of 42
- Cost 2: rank 26 of 66
- Average pick: 3.2 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy53.7 % · 79,200 games
- 2 copies55.4 % · 11,773 games
- 3 copies55.2 % · 984 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks57.2 % · 24,082 games
- Next two weeks58.2 % · 14,301 games
- After that56.5 % · 4,905 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Marvin, Murderous Mimic1,007 games · 54.0 % (instead of 50.4% expected)
- Boilerbilges Ripper7,797 games · 55.7 % (instead of 52.5% expected)
- Screaming Nemesis1,815 games · 59.8 % (instead of 56.7% expected)
- Nashi, Searcher in the Dark4,314 games · 53.0 % (instead of 50.3% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Sheltered by Ghosts4,656 games · 53.3 % (instead of 56.2% expected)
Where it is played
B/G · 32 %B/R · 32 %
Played in 9.2% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
29. Disturbing Mirth
7.4
36. Broodspinner
7.2
52. Undead Sprinter
6.8
91. Osseous Sticktwister
6.2
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.