Nashi, Searcher in the Dark
Rare · Legendary Creature — Rat Ninja Wizard
5.8PlayableRank 120 of 271
53.6%Rank 188 of 269 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.9%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
It wins less than its rating suggests.
Why this gap?
The pick rating is a prior: it is for choosing a card before there are results. The observed strength comes from real games, and the win rate of a card is stable from one week to the next. The gap often comes from a card that is easy to replace at the pick but very efficient once played, from a good archetype that carries it, or from a flaw of our rating: in a set that already has many games, the results are more reliable than the rating.
Good playable that always makes the cut (5.8/10).
Why. A two-mana 2/2 menace that mills that many cards when it deals combat damage to a player. You may take legendary and enchantment cards from among them; if you take none, it gets a +1/+1 counter.
Risks. It is blue-black gold, and a 2/2 dies to almost anything. It is much less powerful in a deck with few enchantments or legends, where the card advantage is rare.
In the draft. Play it in a blue-black deck with enchantments. An average pick, to take after the removal.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +5.2 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Rare: rank 35 of 60
- Multicolour: rank 21 of 34
- Cost 2: rank 38 of 66
- Average pick: 4.9 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
splash
splash
splash
splash
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy50.7 % · 17,906 games
- 2 copies51.8 % · 1,703 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks53.3 % · 5,116 games
- Next two weeks53.3 % · 2,938 games
- After that55.3 % · 1,055 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- The Tale of Tamiyo176 games · 54.0 % (instead of 43.6% expected)
- Kaito, Bane of Nightmares1,960 games · 55.3 % (instead of 49.5% expected)
- Skullsnap Nuisance7,151 games · 51.3 % (instead of 47.1% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Glassworks // Shattered Yard1,112 games · 47.2 % (instead of 51.4% expected)
- Paranormal Analyst1,936 games · 48.8 % (instead of 51.0% expected)
- Fear of Immobility1,118 games · 48.8 % (instead of 51.1% expected)
Where it is played
B/U · 26 %
Played in 2.1% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
25. Silent Hallcreeper
7.6
29. Disturbing Mirth
7.4
31. Oblivious Bookworm
7.4
35. Gremlin Tamer
7.3
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.