Twist Reality
Common · Instant
5.4PlayableRank 152 of 271
55.5%Rank 117 of 269 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.9%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
A solid playable that rarely gets cut (5.4/10).
Why. A flexible three-mana instant: counter a spell, or manifest dread for a face-down 2/2 and a filled graveyard. The creature mode guarantees you can use it even when your opponent plays nothing important.
Risks. Two blue mana needs a solid blue base, and the counterspell mode requires leaving mana open. A 2/2 for three is modest if you just use it as a body.
In the draft. A good common for blue decks, especially blue-green and white-blue. Take it as a steady value card for decks that like to play reactively.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +2.1 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Common: rank 25 of 91
- Blue: rank 21 of 41
- Cost 3: rank 34 of 57
- Average pick: 9.3 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy54.2 % · 88,743 games
- 2 copies54.4 % · 23,621 games
- 3 copies54.9 % · 3,229 games
- 4 copies or more52.2 % · 490 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks55.7 % · 30,934 games
- Next two weeks54.8 % · 18,833 games
- After that55.4 % · 7,150 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Balustrade Wurm5,086 games · 57.8 % (instead of 55.8% expected)
- Greenhouse // Rickety Gazebo1,741 games · 50.5 % (instead of 48.5% expected)
- Twitching Doll5,315 games · 56.5 % (instead of 54.5% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Charred Foyer // Warped Space858 games · 46.4 % (instead of 50.3% expected)
- Unwanted Remake1,114 games · 46.1 % (instead of 49.8% expected)
- Ticket Booth // Tunnel of Hate7,245 games · 50.5 % (instead of 53.9% expected)
Where it is played
G/U · 58 %R/U · 35 %
Played in 12% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
9. Abhorrent Oculus
8.6
21. Entity Tracker
7.7
32. Unnerving Grasp
7.4
33. Zimone, All-Questioning
7.4
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.