Bristlebane Outrider
Uncommon · Creature — Kithkin Knight
6.0PlayableRank 96 of 264
56.1%Rank 109 of 264 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
Good playable that always makes the cut (6.0/10).
Why. A four-mana 3/5 that cannot be blocked by creatures with power 2 or less, and gets +2/+0 if another creature entered under your control this turn. It attacks as a 5/5 on turns when you cast a creature.
Risks. Its bonus depends on casting a creature before attacking. A creature with power 3 or more can block it.
In the draft. A good body in green, especially green-white. Take it as a mid-curve creature, after removals and the better creatures.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +1.6 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Uncommon: rank 35 of 100
- Green: rank 14 of 40
- Cost 4: rank 16 of 47
- Average pick: 5.5 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy55.7 % · 33,672 games
- 2 copies56.5 % · 4,897 games
- 3 copies58.9 % · 309 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks57.1 % · 11,875 games
- Next two weeks55.9 % · 3,682 games
- After that54.8 % · 1,416 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Abigale, Eloquent First-Year2,403 games · 59.3 % (instead of 56.7% expected)
- Evershrike's Gift3,808 games · 57.4 % (instead of 54.9% expected)
- Appeal to Eirdu1,723 games · 55.5 % (instead of 53.3% expected)
- Hovel Hurler2,671 games · 55.2 % (instead of 53.2% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- High Perfect Morcant1,489 games · 52.0 % (instead of 58.3% expected)
- Gloom Ripper1,648 games · 56.7 % (instead of 60.6% expected)
- Prismatic Undercurrents550 games · 45.6 % (instead of 49.2% expected)
Where it is played
G/W · 39 %
Played in 7.1% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
10. Champions of the Perfect
8.5
31. High Perfect Morcant
7.4
84. Doran, Besieged by Time
6.2
88. Moon-Vigil Adherents
6.2
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.