Feed the Flames

Common · Instant

Pick rating

5.0PlayableRank 169 of 264

Observed strength

54.4%Rank 153 of 264 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A solid playable that rarely gets cut (5.0/10).

Why. A sturdy red instant removal: five damage handles most threats in the format, and the exile clause stops graveyard recursion.

Risks. Four mana for a removal with no bonus, and it only hits creatures. It is a bit slow against an aggressive deck.

In the draft. A fair pick if you are red, ahead of interchangeable creatures. A deck is happy to run two.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game54.4 %(set average : 55.7 %)
Card in the opening hand51.2 %(set average : 54.5 %)
Card drawn during the game56.4 %(set average : 56.5 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +2.4 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)81.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 20 of 81
  • Red: rank 23 of 40
  • Cost 4: rank 26 of 47
  • Average pick: 6.4 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

45,649 games55.7 %(all pairs : 53.9 %)
26,239 games53.2 %(all pairs : 53.9 %)
6,828 games52.1 %(all pairs : 53.9 %)
5,260 games52.3 %(all pairs : 53.9 %)
4,804 games52.7 %(all pairs : 53.9 %)
2,329 games49.9 %(all pairs : 53.9 %)
1,810 games50.6 %(all pairs : 53.9 %)
1,661 games48.8 %(all pairs : 53.9 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand54.7 %· 12,675 games
All players, card in hand55.1 %· 50,656 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)55.3 %(set average : 57.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)52.4 %(set average : 52.9 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy54.1 % · 74,648 games
  • 2 copies53.3 % · 22,733 games
  • 3 copies53.2 % · 2,758 games
  • 4 copies or more54.0 % · 291 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks54.9 % · 33,859 games
  • Next two weeks55.6 % · 12,216 games
  • After that55.5 % · 4,581 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

R/U · 66 %R/W · 53 %

Played in 19% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Sanar, Innovative First-Year

    49. Sanar, Innovative First-Year

    7.0
  • Bre of Clan Stoutarm

    60. Bre of Clan Stoutarm

    6.6
  • Champion of the Path

    97. Champion of the Path

    6.0
  • Goliath Daydreamer

    100. Goliath Daydreamer

    6.0

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.