Flamebraider

Uncommon · Creature — Elemental Bard

Pick rating

6.4GoodRank 75 of 264

Observed strength

58.7%Rank 53 of 264 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

Good playable that always makes the cut (6.4/10).

Why. A 2/2 for two mana that taps for two mana in any combination of colours. That mana only pays for Elemental spells or Elemental abilities, so it ramps and fixes an Elemental deck.

Risks. Without Elementals the mana is dead. The deck needs plenty of them, or you are playing a vanilla 2/2.

In the draft. A good uncommon in a blue-red Elemental deck. Outside of one, pass it. Look for expensive Elementals to cast ahead of schedule.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game58.7 %(set average : 55.7 %)
Card in the opening hand62.7 %(set average : 54.5 %)
Card drawn during the game56.0 %(set average : 56.5 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +5.8 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)81.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 22 of 100
  • Red: rank 6 of 40
  • Cost 2: rank 19 of 72
  • Average pick: 4.6 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

35,794 games57.2 %(all pairs : 55.8 %)
4,966 games52.5 %(all pairs : 55.8 %)
2,804 games53.3 %(all pairs : 55.8 %)
1,961 games53.1 %(all pairs : 55.8 %)
1,615 games54.2 %(all pairs : 55.8 %)
1,500 games52.5 %(all pairs : 55.8 %)
917 games54.1 %(all pairs : 55.8 %)
723 games55.7 %(all pairs : 55.8 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand59.0 %· 7,426 games
All players, card in hand59.0 %· 26,790 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)57.5 %(set average : 57.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)54.1 %(set average : 52.9 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy55.4 % · 40,183 games
  • 2 copies57.0 % · 10,265 games
  • 3 copies58.1 % · 1,509 games
  • 4 copies or more63.8 % · 290 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks58.8 % · 18,072 games
  • Next two weeks59.8 % · 6,369 games
  • After that58.7 % · 2,349 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

  • Goatnap287 games · 54.0 % (instead of 49.2% expected)
  • Impolite Entrance740 games · 51.1 % (instead of 47.7% expected)
  • Deceit2,100 games · 58.5 % (instead of 55.7% expected)

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

R/U · 44 %R/W · 32 %

Played in 9.4% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Ashling, Rekindled // Ashling, Rimebound

    27. Ashling, Rekindled // Ashling, Rimebound

    7.4
  • Boggart Cursecrafter

    40. Boggart Cursecrafter

    7.0
  • Explosive Prodigy

    52. Explosive Prodigy

    6.8
  • Sear

    78. Sear

    6.4

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.