Kinsbaile Aspirant

Uncommon · Creature — Kithkin Citizen

Pick rating

6.4GoodRank 76 of 264

Observed strength

58.1%Rank 65 of 264 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

Good playable that always makes the cut (6.4/10).

Why. A 2/1 for one mana if you behold a Kithkin, and it gets +1/+1 until end of turn whenever another creature enters under your control. In a deck that deploys creatures it hits far above its weight.

Risks. Without a Kithkin to behold it costs three mana: a pricey, fragile 2/1. It only grows on turns when you cast other creatures.

In the draft. Take it in white with a healthy count of Kithkin and cheap creatures. Count it as a three-drop in other decks.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game58.1 %(set average : 55.7 %)
Card in the opening hand61.9 %(set average : 54.5 %)
Card drawn during the game55.1 %(set average : 56.5 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +3.3 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)71.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 23 of 100
  • White: rank 15 of 41
  • Cost 1: rank 10 of 22
  • Average pick: 5.3 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

29,260 games57.6 %(all pairs : 56.8 %)
2,260 games53.2 %(all pairs : 56.8 %)
1,018 games52.5 %(all pairs : 56.8 %)
659 games50.7 %(all pairs : 56.8 %)
633 games52.3 %(all pairs : 56.8 %)
584 games51.2 %(all pairs : 56.8 %)
475 games58.9 %(all pairs : 56.8 %)
336 games53.6 %(all pairs : 56.8 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand57.3 %· 3,812 games
All players, card in hand58.8 %· 16,609 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)59.9 %(set average : 57.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)53.7 %(set average : 52.9 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy56.3 % · 26,597 games
  • 2 copies58.2 % · 7,236 games
  • 3 copies59.0 % · 1,344 games
  • 4 copies or more63.4 % · 161 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks58.7 % · 11,427 games
  • Next two weeks59.4 % · 3,809 games
  • After that58.3 % · 1,373 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

G/W · 46 %

Played in 6.4% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Figure of Fable

    30. Figure of Fable

    7.4
  • Wanderbrine Trapper

    56. Wanderbrine Trapper

    6.8
  • Evershrike's Gift

    155. Evershrike's Gift

    5.2
  • Goldmeadow Nomad

    194. Goldmeadow Nomad

    4.7

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.