Flamekin Gildweaver
Common · Creature — Elemental Sorcerer
5.0PlayableRank 172 of 264
56.5%Rank 96 of 264 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
It wins more than its rating suggests.
Why this gap?
The pick rating is a prior: it is for choosing a card before there are results. The observed strength comes from real games, and the win rate of a card is stable from one week to the next. The gap often comes from a card that is easy to replace at the pick but very efficient once played, from a good archetype that carries it, or from a flaw of our rating: in a set that already has many games, the results are more reliable than the rating.
A solid playable that rarely gets cut (5.0/10).
Why. A trampling 4/3 that comes with a Treasure token: you get a mana back, and the body is big enough to attack freely. Good value for four mana.
Risks. A 4/3 is still vulnerable to trade removals, and the Treasure only matters if you have something to cast afterwards.
In the draft. A very playable red card, especially in blue-red. The Treasure helps with fixing or chaining expensive spells.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +3.7 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Common: rank 23 of 81
- Red: rank 24 of 40
- Cost 4: rank 27 of 47
- Average pick: 7.8 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy53.9 % · 55,302 games
- 2 copies55.6 % · 25,555 games
- 3 copies56.5 % · 5,312 games
- 4 copies or more57.4 % · 745 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks56.6 % · 29,833 games
- Next two weeks56.8 % · 12,468 games
- After that56.6 % · 4,786 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Raiding Schemes190 games · 47.4 % (instead of 43.9% expected)
- Oko, Lorwyn Liege // Oko, Shadowmoor Scion2,809 games · 55.9 % (instead of 53.0% expected)
- Glen Elendra Guardian6,142 games · 56.7 % (instead of 54.4% expected)
- Kithkeeper7,195 games · 54.4 % (instead of 52.1% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Bloom Tender945 games · 46.7 % (instead of 52.5% expected)
- Morningtide's Light451 games · 47.9 % (instead of 53.5% expected)
- Moonshadow663 games · 49.0 % (instead of 54.3% expected)
Where it is played
R/U · 68 %R/W · 63 %
Played in 16% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
49. Sanar, Innovative First-Year
7.0
60. Bre of Clan Stoutarm
6.6
97. Champion of the Path
6.0
100. Goliath Daydreamer
6.0
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.