Flaring Cinder
Common · Creature — Elemental Sorcerer
5.0PlayableRank 173 of 264
55.2%Rank 134 of 264 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
A solid playable that rarely gets cut (5.0/10).
Why. A hybrid 3/2 for three mana that smooths your hand: on enter, and whenever you cast a spell with mana value four or greater, you may discard a card to draw one. It turns extra lands into spells.
Risks. The body is small, and the looting needs discards you do not always want to make. Few expensive spells in the deck means few triggers.
In the draft. A decent support card, playable in blue or red thanks to the hybrid cost. Take it when nothing stronger is available.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +2.1 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Common: rank 24 of 81
- Multicolour: rank 37 of 49
- Cost 3: rank 44 of 66
- Average pick: 8.3 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
splash
splash
splash
splash
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy54.3 % · 55,167 games
- 2 copies55.5 % · 19,810 games
- 3 copies54.9 % · 3,267 games
- 4 copies or more56.4 % · 408 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks55.3 % · 26,480 games
- Next two weeks56.1 % · 10,444 games
- After that56.2 % · 4,002 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Impolite Entrance784 games · 49.5 % (instead of 46.5% expected)
- Shimmercreep6,506 games · 54.6 % (instead of 51.9% expected)
- Prismatic Undercurrents2,105 games · 50.5 % (instead of 48.1% expected)
- Sunderflock13,166 games · 60.0 % (instead of 57.8% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Bloom Tender862 games · 46.8 % (instead of 52.5% expected)
- Sygg's Command1,130 games · 51.2 % (instead of 56.0% expected)
- Springleaf Drum1,064 games · 46.1 % (instead of 50.3% expected)
Where it is played
R/U · 64 %G/R · 31 %
Played in 15% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
34. Eclipsed Merrow
7.3
38. Oko, Lorwyn Liege // Oko, Shadowmoor Scion
7.2
48. Sygg's Command
7.0
57. Glen Elendra Guardian
6.7
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.