Flock Impostor

Uncommon · Creature — Shapeshifter

Pick rating

5.7PlayableRank 123 of 264

Observed strength

55.2%Rank 135 of 264 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

Good playable that always makes the cut (5.7/10).

Why. A 2/2 changeling with flash and flying for three that returns another creature you control to hand when it enters. It works as a flying ambush and can save a targeted creature or replay an enter effect.

Risks. A 2/2 is fragile, and the bounce costs tempo if you have no creature to save or replay. The enter effect is optional, which limits the risk.

In the draft. A good card for a white tempo deck. Take it in the middle of your pool, earlier if you have enter effects to replay.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game55.2 %(set average : 55.7 %)
Card in the opening hand53.4 %(set average : 54.5 %)
Card drawn during the game56.5 %(set average : 56.5 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +0.8 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)82.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 50 of 100
  • White: rank 20 of 41
  • Cost 3: rank 31 of 66
  • Average pick: 4.9 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

19,736 games55.8 %(all pairs : 55.3 %)
15,487 games56.9 %(all pairs : 55.3 %)
1,954 games52.1 %(all pairs : 55.3 %)
1,549 games50.5 %(all pairs : 55.3 %)
1,057 games51.9 %(all pairs : 55.3 %)
678 games49.3 %(all pairs : 55.3 %)
656 games52.9 %(all pairs : 55.3 %)
601 games48.3 %(all pairs : 55.3 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand53.9 %· 4,397 games
All players, card in hand55.3 %· 19,018 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)57.7 %(set average : 57.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)52.9 %(set average : 52.9 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy55.3 % · 39,194 games
  • 2 copies55.5 % · 4,122 games
  • 3 copies49.8 % · 209 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks55.2 % · 13,119 games
  • Next two weeks55.8 % · 4,217 games
  • After that55.4 % · 1,682 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Brigid's Command

    13. Brigid's Command

    8.3
  • Ajani, Outland Chaperone

    15. Ajani, Outland Chaperone

    8.1
  • Eclipsed Merrow

    34. Eclipsed Merrow

    7.3
  • Brigid, Clachan's Heart // Brigid, Doun's Mind

    41. Brigid, Clachan's Heart // Brigid, Doun's Mind

    7.0

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.