Billowing Shriekmass

Uncommon · Creature — Spirit

Pick rating

4.8WeakRank 189 of 271

Observed strength

53.7%Rank 171 of 274 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A solid playable that rarely gets cut (4.8/10).

Why. A 2/3 flyer for four that mills three cards on arrival. With Threshold it becomes a 4/4 flyer, a real aerial threat.

Risks. Without Threshold it is a modest 2/3 flyer. The mill fills your graveyard, but you may need to wait.

In the draft. A good mid-pack pick for a black deck seeking flyers. It pairs well with graveyard effects.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game53.7 %(set average : 55.7 %)
Card in the opening hand50.0 %(set average : 54.8 %)
Card drawn during the game56.0 %(set average : 56.4 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +2.3 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)62.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 68 of 101
  • Black: rank 29 of 43
  • Cost 4: rank 31 of 44
  • Average pick: 6.7 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

18,705 games52.4 %(all pairs : 52.6 %)
11,226 games53.5 %(all pairs : 52.6 %)
10,637 games54.1 %(all pairs : 52.6 %)
6,090 games51.3 %(all pairs : 52.6 %)
1,532 games53.3 %(all pairs : 52.6 %)
763 games45.0 %(all pairs : 52.6 %)
554 games46.4 %(all pairs : 52.6 %)
277 games45.5 %(all pairs : 52.6 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand52.9 %· 5,163 games
All players, card in hand53.7 %· 23,466 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)52.9 %(set average : 55.6 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)52.4 %(set average : 53.5 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy52.8 % · 43,747 games
  • 2 copies51.4 % · 6,231 games
  • 3 copies52.9 % · 561 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks54.1 % · 15,144 games
  • Next two weeks52.9 % · 7,263 games
  • After that52.5 % · 1,059 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Elenda, Saint of Dusk

    34. Elenda, Saint of Dusk

    7.4
  • Bake into a Pie

    83. Bake into a Pie

    6.3
  • Fiendish Panda

    142. Fiendish Panda

    5.6
  • Zombify

    184. Zombify

    5.0

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.