Shivan Dragon
Uncommon · Creature — Dragon
2.0WeakRank 262 of 271
51.4%Rank 227 of 274 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
Not good filler and often gets cut (2.0/10).
Why. A 5/5 flyer for six that gets +1/+0 until end of turn for each red mana you pay. A classic finisher: in the air with plenty of mana, it ends the game quickly.
Risks. Six mana with two red is slow. A removal spell stops it before it attacks, and it's too expensive for a fast deck.
In the draft. A decent finisher for midrange red. Take it mid-pack; one copy is enough.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -0.7 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Uncommon: rank 97 of 101
- Red: rank 42 of 43
- Cost 6: rank 17 of 18
- Average pick: 8.1 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy52.0 % · 26,490 games
- 2 copies50.8 % · 1,944 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks50.3 % · 8,153 games
- Next two weeks53.4 % · 2,951 games
- After that51.7 % · 429 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Swiftfoot Boots738 games · 50.3 % (instead of 45.7% expected)
- Apothecary Stomper1,727 games · 53.1 % (instead of 49.7% expected)
- Reclamation Sage1,582 games · 52.1 % (instead of 48.9% expected)
- Grow from the Ashes2,283 games · 49.5 % (instead of 46.6% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Refute1,839 games · 48.1 % (instead of 52.5% expected)
- Strix Lookout1,703 games · 47.2 % (instead of 51.5% expected)
Other cards of the same cost and colours
123. Rite of the Dragoncaller
5.8
163. Etali, Primal Storm
5.2
236. Niv-Mizzet, Visionary
4.0
264. Thousand-Year Storm
2.0
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.