Strix Lookout

Common · Creature — Bird

Pick rating

5.3PlayableRank 156 of 271

Observed strength

55.1%Rank 125 of 274 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A solid playable that rarely gets cut (5.3/10).

Why. A two-mana 1/2 with flying and vigilance that can also loot for two mana. It blocks small fliers and improves your hand late in the game.

Risks. It is small, so it attacks for little and dies easily. Its ability costs mana and tempo, which does not help an aggressive deck.

In the draft. A good blue common for a control or flying deck. A mid-pack pick.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game55.1 %(set average : 55.7 %)
Card in the opening hand54.6 %(set average : 54.8 %)
Card drawn during the game55.5 %(set average : 56.4 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +1.7 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)81.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 39 of 90
  • Blue: rank 25 of 44
  • Cost 2: rank 31 of 57
  • Average pick: 6.9 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

50,910 games56.2 %(all pairs : 54.1 %)
48,921 games54.3 %(all pairs : 54.1 %)
24,453 games52.4 %(all pairs : 54.1 %)
17,700 games52.2 %(all pairs : 54.1 %)
4,465 games52.3 %(all pairs : 54.1 %)
1,838 games49.4 %(all pairs : 54.1 %)
1,402 games48.1 %(all pairs : 54.1 %)
767 games51.8 %(all pairs : 54.1 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand54.9 %· 18,220 games
All players, card in hand55.0 %· 79,428 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)55.5 %(set average : 55.6 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)52.7 %(set average : 53.5 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy54.3 % · 110,020 games
  • 2 copies53.5 % · 36,574 games
  • 3 copies54.2 % · 5,527 games
  • 4 copies or more53.2 % · 601 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks54.7 % · 48,608 games
  • Next two weeks55.4 % · 26,613 games
  • After that55.0 % · 4,207 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

U/W · 72 %R/U · 68 %

Played in 20% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Mischievous Mystic

    27. Mischievous Mystic

    7.5
  • Drake Hatcher

    37. Drake Hatcher

    7.2
  • Essence Scatter

    40. Essence Scatter

    7.1
  • Balmor, Battlemage Captain

    96. Balmor, Battlemage Captain

    6.2

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.