Tom, Bert, and William
Rare · Legendary Creature — Troll
7.0GoodRank 34 of 188
57.6%Rank 51 of 179 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.5%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
A very good rare of the format (7.0/10).
Why. A 5/5 for five mana that can sacrifice another creature for one mana to draw cards equal to its power, then discard a card. Even if it is killed, it returns to the battlefield as an artifact: it is no longer a creature, but it keeps its sacrifice ability and keeps feeding your hand.
Risks. The sacrifice costs you a creature each use: it's best when the victim was about to die or has big power. As an artifact it no longer blocks or attacks. Exile shuts it down for good.
In the draft. A very good body for black-green: take it high in those colors. It draws the most with high-power creatures, or ones about to die.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +2.9 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Rare: rank 17 of 53
- Multicolour: rank 5 of 26
- Cost 5: rank 4 of 21
- Average pick: 2.4 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
splash
splash
splash
splash
splash
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy56.3 % · 15,876 games
- 2 copies60.1 % · 759 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks57.7 % · 4,884 games
- Next two weeks59.1 % · 1,184 games
- After that57.9 % · 636 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Gigantic Big Bear888 games · 56.6 % (instead of 52.2% expected)
- The Notary Hobbits310 games · 55.5 % (instead of 51.6% expected)
- My Precious // Allure of Power749 games · 55.8 % (instead of 52.1% expected)
- Troop of Ponies1,819 games · 57.3 % (instead of 54.3% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Uneasy Partings1,156 games · 49.7 % (instead of 55.2% expected)
- Plunder the Trollshaws1,168 games · 50.5 % (instead of 56.1% expected)
- Long Lake Nuisance852 games · 50.5 % (instead of 55.9% expected)
Other cards of the same cost and colours
4. Beorn the Fierce
8.9
11. Dancing from Dark to Dawn
8.1
50. Smaug, Wicked Worm
6.6
77. Large Bear
5.9
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.