Troop of Ponies
Uncommon · Creature — Horse
4.6WeakRank 144 of 188
53.7%Rank 114 of 179 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.5%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
A solid playable that rarely gets cut (4.6/10).
Why. A colorless 2/1 for two mana that, for two more mana, taps and sacrifices itself to search for two basic lands: one enters the battlefield tapped, the other goes to your hand. It fixes mana and secures your land drops mid-game.
Risks. Its two-power, one-toughness body is weak, and its effect costs a whole turn for a mana gain. It does nothing decisive on its own.
In the draft. Playable in two- or three-color decks that want to fix their mana. Take it late in the pack, as a mana complement rather than a creature.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +0.8 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Uncommon: rank 44 of 55
- Colourless: rank 19 of 22
- Cost 2: rank 45 of 55
- Average pick: 7.6 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy54.2 % · 18,596 games
- 2 copies52.7 % · 2,130 games
- 3 copies45.0 % · 100 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks53.9 % · 6,954 games
- Next two weeks55.2 % · 1,651 games
- After that54.8 % · 1,005 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Mirkwood Meditator470 games · 52.8 % (instead of 46.1% expected)
- Radagast of Rhosgobel1,191 games · 55.5 % (instead of 50.8% expected)
- Elrond, Moon-Reader503 games · 52.1 % (instead of 48.3% expected)
- Inside Information410 games · 54.4 % (instead of 50.5% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Most Decrepit Old Bird // Speak Secrets433 games · 43.9 % (instead of 51.4% expected)
- Smaug the Magnificent606 games · 54.0 % (instead of 56.6% expected)
- Ori, Keeper of Songs1,918 games · 50.7 % (instead of 53.3% expected)
Other cards of the same cost and colours
86. Thrór's Map
5.8
90. Dwarven Mattock
5.6
120. Old Thrush
5.1
127. Sting, Bilbo's Sword
5.0
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.