Conduit Goblin

Common · Creature — Goblin Warrior

Pick rating

7.0GoodRank 47 of 302

Observed strength

58.9%Rank 40 of 298 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

One of the best commons of the format (7.0/10).

Why. A two-mana 2/2 for an aggressive red-white deck. Its two energy give another creature +1/+0 and haste twice, letting a freshly cast creature attack right away.

Risks. Two exact colours from turn two, and the energy allows only two activations. The body is just a 2/2.

In the draft. A good common for the red-white pair. Let it go if you are not in those colours.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game58.9 %(set average : 56.2 %)
Card in the opening hand60.9 %(set average : 55.6 %)
Card drawn during the game57.0 %(set average : 56.7 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +0.3 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)76.0 %(set average : 67.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 7 of 80
  • Multicolour: rank 5 of 39
  • Cost 2: rank 19 of 86
  • Average pick: 6.4 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

82,059 games59.7 %(all pairs : 57.6 %)
23,813 games52.8 %(all pairs : 57.6 %)
5,444 games54.0 %(all pairs : 57.6 %)
2,347 games48.8 %(all pairs : 57.6 %)
696 games49.1 %(all pairs : 57.6 %)

splash

567 games55.9 %(all pairs : 57.6 %)

splash

416 games54.3 %(all pairs : 57.6 %)

splash

379 games48.8 %(all pairs : 57.6 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand58.0 %· 15,851 games
All players, card in hand58.7 %· 63,519 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)61.5 %(set average : 58.8 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)53.6 %(set average : 51.4 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy56.2 % · 49,597 games
  • 2 copies57.8 % · 38,230 games
  • 3 copies59.2 % · 18,936 games
  • 4 copies or more60.9 % · 9,900 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks58.8 % · 36,534 games
  • Next two weeks58.4 % · 19,827 games
  • After that59.0 % · 7,158 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

R/W · 85 %U/W · 40 %

Played in 15% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Ajani, Nacatl Pariah // Ajani, Nacatl Avenger

    3. Ajani, Nacatl Pariah // Ajani, Nacatl Avenger

    9.1
  • Amped Raptor

    6. Amped Raptor

    8.9
  • Phelia, Exuberant Shepherd

    15. Phelia, Exuberant Shepherd

    8.3
  • Party Thrasher

    24. Party Thrasher

    7.7

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.