Detective's Phoenix

Rare · Enchantment Creature — Phoenix

Pick rating

7.6Very goodRank 26 of 302

Observed strength

58.9%Rank 41 of 298 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

One of the very best rares of the format (7.6/10).

Why. A 2/2 flyer with haste for three mana. It can also be cast with bestow for a red mana by exiling cards with total mana value 6 or more from your graveyard, giving +2/+2, flying and haste to a creature, and it can be recast that way from the graveyard.

Risks. Collect evidence 6 empties your graveyard and takes time. The body is small, and a removal spell costs you tempo, even though it can come back.

In the draft. A good pick in red, best in aggressive decks that fill their graveyard. It is resilient to removal.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game58.9 %(set average : 56.2 %)
Card in the opening hand57.6 %(set average : 55.6 %)
Card drawn during the game59.9 %(set average : 56.7 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +2.4 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)94.0 %(set average : 67.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Rare: rank 14 of 78
  • Red: rank 5 of 33
  • Cost 3: rank 7 of 75
  • Average pick: 2.1 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

11,362 games60.0 %(all pairs : 57.2 %)
5,953 games59.9 %(all pairs : 57.2 %)
5,387 games55.7 %(all pairs : 57.2 %)
3,651 games57.7 %(all pairs : 57.2 %)
3,602 games54.1 %(all pairs : 57.2 %)
3,504 games55.1 %(all pairs : 57.2 %)
1,362 games55.0 %(all pairs : 57.2 %)
1,202 games56.5 %(all pairs : 57.2 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand57.9 %· 3,635 games
All players, card in hand58.6 %· 16,122 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)61.4 %(set average : 58.8 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)53.1 %(set average : 51.4 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy57.1 % · 38,950 games
  • 2 copies59.2 % · 1,663 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks59.0 % · 9,542 games
  • Next two weeks57.7 % · 4,780 games
  • After that59.1 % · 1,800 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Phlage, Titan of Fire's Fury

    5. Phlage, Titan of Fire's Fury

    8.9
  • Laelia, the Blade Reforged

    14. Laelia, the Blade Reforged

    8.3
  • Invert Polarity

    73. Invert Polarity

    6.6
  • Glimpse the Impossible

    109. Glimpse the Impossible

    6.0

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.