Siege Smash
Common · Instant
5.6PlayableRank 154 of 302
55.2%Rank 156 of 298 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
Good playable that always makes the cut (5.6/10).
Why. A two-mana instant with split second and two modes: destroy an artifact, or give a creature +3/+2 and trample. Nobody can respond, so the pump wins a combat with no risk of an answer.
Risks. Both modes are situational: the artifact mode depends on what the opponent plays, and the pump only lasts until end of turn.
In the draft. A good combat trick for an aggressive red deck. Take it mid-pack.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -1.9 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Common: rank 38 of 80
- Red: rank 17 of 33
- Cost 2: rank 52 of 86
- Average pick: 10.8 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy56.4 % · 59,091 games
- 2 copies57.0 % · 8,002 games
- 3 copies51.9 % · 607 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks55.3 % · 14,998 games
- Next two weeks55.2 % · 8,077 games
- After that55.2 % · 2,897 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Ocelot Pride1,736 games · 63.2 % (instead of 60.5% expected)
- Kozilek, the Broken Reality762 games · 57.7 % (instead of 55.0% expected)
- Argent Dais217 games · 55.3 % (instead of 52.9% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Ugin's Labyrinth374 games · 48.4 % (instead of 53.4% expected)
- Serum Visionary3,728 games · 52.0 % (instead of 56.5% expected)
- Izzet Generatorium1,762 games · 48.3 % (instead of 52.8% expected)
Where it is played
G/R · 32 %R/W · 31 %
Played in 8.6% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
6. Amped Raptor
8.9
24. Party Thrasher
7.7
47. Conduit Goblin
7.0
55. Unstable Amulet
7.0
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.