Urza's Incubator
Rare · Artifact
3.8WeakRank 271 of 302
42.2%Rank 298 of 298 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
A good playable, but is sometimes cut (3.8/10).
Why. You choose a creature type, and creature spells of that type cost two less. In a very tribal deck it produces explosive turns.
Risks. A draft rarely gives you enough creatures of one type. On turn three you lose tempo, and outside the chosen type it does nothing.
In the draft. Avoid it unless your deck is already built around a specific type, with around ten creatures sharing it. Otherwise leave it in the pack.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -6.7 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Rare: rank 68 of 78
- Colourless: rank 78 of 85
- Cost 3: rank 66 of 75
- Average pick: 8.8 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Eldrazi Linebreaker249 games · 55.8 % (instead of 47.4% expected)
- Fanged Flames602 games · 53.7 % (instead of 47.1% expected)
- Deep Analysis219 games · 50.7 % (instead of 45.0% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Collective Resistance268 games · 42.2 % (instead of 47.5% expected)
- Emrakul's Messenger296 games · 40.5 % (instead of 45.5% expected)
- Tune the Narrative151 games · 40.4 % (instead of 45.1% expected)
Other cards of the same cost and colours
7. Ugin's Binding
8.8
27. Eldrazi Linebreaker
7.6
32. Eldrazi Repurposer
7.4
58. Hope-Ender Coatl
6.8
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.