Ugin's Binding

Mythic · Instant

Pick rating

8.8BombRank 7 of 302

Observed strength

60.3%Rank 20 of 298 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

One of the 10 best cards of the set (8.8/10).

Why. A three-mana instant that returns a nonland permanent you don't control to its owner's hand. It gains tempo, kills a token outright and answers an Aura. Later, casting a colourless spell with mana value 7 or greater lets you exile it from your graveyard to send back the whole opposing board.

Risks. The permanent just goes back to hand unless it is a token, so this is tempo, not removal. Without very big colourless spells, the second effect stays theoretical.

In the draft. A good pick for blue tempo or control decks. Weaker if your deck cannot use the tempo it gains.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game60.3 %(set average : 56.2 %)
Card in the opening hand57.2 %(set average : 55.6 %)
Card drawn during the game62.4 %(set average : 56.7 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +6.6 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)72.0 %(set average : 67.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Mythic: rank 5 of 24
  • Colourless: rank 1 of 85
  • Cost 3: rank 2 of 75
  • Average pick: 2.2 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

5,757 games57.8 %(all pairs : 56.6 %)
3,238 games59.3 %(all pairs : 56.6 %)
1,349 games52.5 %(all pairs : 56.6 %)
662 games53.8 %(all pairs : 56.6 %)
509 games56.6 %(all pairs : 56.6 %)
471 games49.7 %(all pairs : 56.6 %)
430 games59.8 %(all pairs : 56.6 %)
270 games53.7 %(all pairs : 56.6 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand58.1 %· 1,296 games
All players, card in hand60.3 %· 6,024 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)60.1 %(set average : 58.8 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)53.1 %(set average : 51.4 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy56.5 % · 13,329 games
  • 2 copies57.9 % · 273 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks60.1 % · 3,520 games
  • Next two weeks60.2 % · 1,775 games
  • After that61.0 % · 729 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Eldrazi Linebreaker

    27. Eldrazi Linebreaker

    7.6
  • Eldrazi Repurposer

    32. Eldrazi Repurposer

    7.4
  • Hope-Ender Coatl

    58. Hope-Ender Coatl

    6.8
  • Ghostfire Slice

    85. Ghostfire Slice

    6.4

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.