Beast, Erudite Aerialist

Uncommon · Legendary Creature — Mutant Scientist Hero

Pick rating

4.0WeakRank 238 of 276

Observed strength

49.5%Rank 263 of 273 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.8%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A good playable, but is sometimes cut (4.0/10).

Why. A 3/3 for four that draws whenever it deals combat damage to a player. It has flying once you have put a +1/+1 counter on it this turn, so with the right support it becomes an evasive card engine.

Risks. Without +1/+1 counter sources in your deck, it is a ground 3/3 that opposing creatures block easily. It does not control the board on its own.

In the draft. Best if you have a few ways to place counters. Otherwise it is a fair body with no sparkle; take it at a modest price.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game49.5 %(set average : 56.8 %)
Card in the opening hand48.2 %(set average : 55.6 %)
Card drawn during the game50.3 %(set average : 57.5 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -2.6 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)46.0 %(set average : 63.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 87 of 100
  • Multicolour: rank 42 of 44
  • Cost 4: rank 49 of 52
  • Average pick: 7.6 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

3,403 games51.5 %(all pairs : 51.5 %)
3,337 games52.3 %(all pairs : 51.5 %)

splash

1,998 games53.9 %(all pairs : 51.5 %)

splash

1,043 games48.4 %(all pairs : 51.5 %)

splash

733 games49.9 %(all pairs : 51.5 %)

splash

621 games53.1 %(all pairs : 51.5 %)
394 games50.3 %(all pairs : 51.5 %)

splash

328 games51.2 %(all pairs : 51.5 %)

splash

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand47.8 %· 1,197 games
All players, card in hand49.7 %· 5,655 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)54.8 %(set average : 58.6 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)48.2 %(set average : 53.6 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy51.7 % · 12,498 games
  • 2 copies48.4 % · 620 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks51.1 % · 3,965 games
  • Next two weeks46.3 % · 1,487 games
  • After that46.8 % · 203 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

G/U · 26 %

Played in 3.7% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Kang the Conqueror

    8. Kang the Conqueror

    8.7
  • Leader, Super-Genius

    12. Leader, Super-Genius

    8.4
  • Wolverine, Fierce Fighter

    19. Wolverine, Fierce Fighter

    7.9
  • The Unbeatable Squirrel Girl

    34. The Unbeatable Squirrel Girl

    7.4

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.