Serpent Specialist
Common · Creature — Human Snake Villain
4.8WeakRank 196 of 276
56.6%Rank 108 of 273 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.8%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
It wins more than its rating suggests.
Why this gap?
The pick rating is a prior: it is for choosing a card before there are results. The observed strength comes from real games, and the win rate of a card is stable from one week to the next. The gap often comes from a card that is easy to replace at the pick but very efficient once played, from a good archetype that carries it, or from a flaw of our rating: in a set that already has many games, the results are more reliable than the rating.
A solid playable that rarely gets cut (4.8/10).
Why. A one-mana 1/1 deathtouch that scales with Power-up: four mana for two +1/+1 counters, or three if it just entered. It discourages attacks right away and stays useful late.
Risks. A 1/1 dies to any removal or damage spell, and Power-up is a one-time investment. It does little damage early.
In the draft. A good common for green decks. Take it without urgency, but it almost always makes the deck.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +1.2 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Common: rank 47 of 91
- Green: rank 28 of 37
- Cost 1: rank 19 of 26
- Average pick: 8.4 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy56.3 % · 40,453 games
- 2 copies57.1 % · 10,252 games
- 3 copies54.5 % · 1,036 games
- 4 copies or more56.2 % · 105 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks56.7 % · 14,846 games
- Next two weeks57.7 % · 8,464 games
- After that58.3 % · 1,265 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Evil's Thrall199 games · 55.8 % (instead of 51.3% expected)
- Vision Quest945 games · 61.9 % (instead of 57.6% expected)
- Death to Our Enemies302 games · 52.6 % (instead of 49.3% expected)
- Stark Industries2,451 games · 59.2 % (instead of 55.9% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Quicksilver, Brash Blur251 games · 44.2 % (instead of 51.5% expected)
- Baron Helmut Zemo284 games · 46.1 % (instead of 51.7% expected)
- Captain America, Super-Soldier775 games · 53.2 % (instead of 57.8% expected)
Where it is played
B/G · 54 %G/R · 49 %
Played in 14% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
78. Go Nuts!
6.4
106. Reptil, Dinomorpher
6.0
123. Rapid Rescue
5.8
155. Rick Jones, Destined Sidekick
5.4
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.