Rearing Embermare
Common · Creature — Horse Beast
2.0WeakRank 255 of 266
49.7%Rank 304 of 319 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.3%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
Not good filler and often gets cut (2.0/10).
Why. A five-mana 4/5 with reach and haste. It blocks flyers, hits right away and holds the ground well.
Risks. No extra ability: it is a big body with no effect at five mana. Removal handles it and you get no value in return.
In the draft. A passable red body at the top of the curve. A late-pack pick, playable in a red deck short on creatures.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -0.8 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Common: rank 77 of 86
- Red: rank 31 of 32
- Cost 5: rank 24 of 27
- Average pick: 11.7 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy51.0 % · 11,096 games
- 2 copies51.1 % · 887 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks50.5 % · 3,392 games
- Next two weeks49.8 % · 1,241 games
- After that49.4 % · 886 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Improvisation Capstone655 games · 58.8 % (instead of 53.6% expected)
- Tester of the Tangential613 games · 52.0 % (instead of 48.3% expected)
- Splatter Technique709 games · 55.0 % (instead of 51.5% expected)
- Informed Inkwright687 games · 57.4 % (instead of 54.2% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Flashback733 games · 46.0 % (instead of 49.6% expected)
- Stirring Hopesinger673 games · 51.3 % (instead of 54.5% expected)
Other cards of the same cost and colours
31. Splatter Technique
7.4
48. Stress Dream
7.0
70. Lorehold, the Historian
6.6
97. Artistic Process
6.0
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.