Equilibrium Adept

Uncommon · Creature — Dog Monk

Pick rating

6.0PlayableRank 104 of 271

Observed strength

56.2%Rank 104 of 274 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.0%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

Good playable that always makes the cut (6.0/10).

Why. A value creature: it enters and exiles the top card of your library, playable until the end of your next turn. With Flurry it gains double strike and becomes a real threat on offense.

Risks. A 2/4 for four mana does not do much on its own. The exiled card is lost if you cannot afford to play it, especially a land you cannot play.

In the draft. A decent four-drop for a red deck that often casts two spells in a turn. A mid-pack pick.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game56.2 %(set average : 56.0 %)
Card in the opening hand55.4 %(set average : 54.9 %)
Card drawn during the game56.8 %(set average : 56.7 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +0.9 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)85.0 %(set average : 65.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 29 of 100
  • Red: rank 13 of 34
  • Cost 4: rank 13 of 44
  • Average pick: 5.8 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

15,714 games55.0 %(all pairs : 56.0 %)
12,791 games58.6 %(all pairs : 56.0 %)
10,125 games56.7 %(all pairs : 56.0 %)
9,762 games54.8 %(all pairs : 56.0 %)
3,141 games55.2 %(all pairs : 56.0 %)
1,196 games53.8 %(all pairs : 56.0 %)
845 games53.7 %(all pairs : 56.0 %)
818 games54.0 %(all pairs : 56.0 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand55.9 %· 6,343 games
All players, card in hand56.4 %· 25,735 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)58.7 %(set average : 58.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)53.3 %(set average : 52.1 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy55.9 % · 49,144 games
  • 2 copies56.5 % · 6,454 games
  • 3 copies54.2 % · 579 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks56.7 % · 15,556 games
  • Next two weeks56.2 % · 7,412 games
  • After that54.8 % · 2,767 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

R/U · 30 %R/W · 26 %

Played in 10% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Neriv, Heart of the Storm

    25. Neriv, Heart of the Storm

    7.6
  • Eshki Dragonclaw

    30. Eshki Dragonclaw

    7.4
  • Magmatic Hellkite

    32. Magmatic Hellkite

    7.4
  • Inevitable Defeat

    34. Inevitable Defeat

    7.4

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.