Inevitable Defeat
Rare · Instant
7.4Very goodRank 34 of 271
60.2%Rank 24 of 274 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.0%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
A very good rare of the format (7.4/10).
Why. An instant that exiles any nonland permanent and can't be countered; its controller loses 3 life and you gain 3. It is nearly unconditional removal and very flexible.
Risks. Three colours (red, white and black) for four mana. It cannot deal with lands or spells on the stack.
In the draft. A good removal spell for a red-white-black deck. Take it fairly high.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +5.8 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Rare: rank 21 of 60
- Multicolour: rank 14 of 66
- Cost 4: rank 7 of 44
- Average pick: 2.6 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
splash
splash
splash
splash
splash
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy56.7 % · 22,547 games
- 2 copies57.7 % · 1,346 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks61.0 % · 6,084 games
- Next two weeks59.1 % · 2,925 games
- After that56.8 % · 1,032 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Avenger of the Fallen1,284 games · 58.3 % (instead of 55.7% expected)
- Unburied Earthcarver2,527 games · 56.8 % (instead of 54.2% expected)
- Mardu Siegebreaker2,587 games · 58.6 % (instead of 56.1% expected)
- Neriv, Heart of the Storm1,233 games · 59.3 % (instead of 56.9% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Piercing Exhale1,469 games · 53.2 % (instead of 56.9% expected)
- Monastery Messenger1,744 games · 51.4 % (instead of 54.8% expected)
- Glacial Dragonhunt1,247 games · 54.7 % (instead of 58.1% expected)
Other cards of the same cost and colours
19. Revival of the Ancestors
7.9
25. Neriv, Heart of the Storm
7.6
27. Scavenger Regent // Exude Toxin
7.5
30. Eshki Dragonclaw
7.4
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.