Gurmag Rakshasa

Uncommon · Creature — Demon

Pick rating

5.0PlayableRank 177 of 271

Observed strength

54.9%Rank 162 of 274 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.0%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A solid playable that rarely gets cut (5.0/10).

Why. A six-mana 5/5 with menace that, on entering, gives an opposing creature -2/-2 and one of yours +2/+2 until end of turn. It can kill a small creature and swing a combat.

Risks. Six mana is heavy, and killing the target is not guaranteed. A removal spell on it costs you tempo.

In the draft. A good top-end black card. Take it if you have few six-drops and enough mana to cast it.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game54.9 %(set average : 56.0 %)
Card in the opening hand51.8 %(set average : 54.9 %)
Card drawn during the game57.1 %(set average : 56.7 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +1.2 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)46.0 %(set average : 65.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 61 of 100
  • Black: rank 13 of 34
  • Cost 6: rank 13 of 23
  • Average pick: 8.2 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

7,712 games54.6 %(all pairs : 54.6 %)
6,018 games54.1 %(all pairs : 54.6 %)
4,965 games55.0 %(all pairs : 54.6 %)
2,490 games56.1 %(all pairs : 54.6 %)
1,947 games54.5 %(all pairs : 54.6 %)
614 games58.1 %(all pairs : 54.6 %)
543 games53.6 %(all pairs : 54.6 %)
335 games49.0 %(all pairs : 54.6 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand53.1 %· 1,705 games
All players, card in hand55.1 %· 10,864 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)56.7 %(set average : 58.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)52.5 %(set average : 52.1 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy54.5 % · 23,459 games
  • 2 copies55.4 % · 2,051 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks55.3 % · 7,864 games
  • Next two weeks54.3 % · 2,217 games
  • After that55.0 % · 783 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Perennation

    97. Perennation

    6.1
  • Rakshasa's Bargain

    119. Rakshasa's Bargain

    5.8
  • Reigning Victor

    150. Reigning Victor

    5.4
  • Gurmag Nightwatch

    192. Gurmag Nightwatch

    4.8

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.