Sandskitter Outrider
Common · Creature — Goblin Soldier
2.0WeakRank 264 of 271
51.9%Rank 240 of 274 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.0%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
Not good filler and often gets cut (2.0/10).
Why. A 2/1 with menace for four that gets Endure 2 on arrival: two counters, or a 2/2 white Spirit creature token. Either two bodies, or a 4/3 with menace, depending on the board.
Risks. Four mana for a modest body, and fragile if you pick the token. It does little against an opponent who blocks well.
In the draft. Acceptable black filler, especially in a counters deck. Take it as a mid-curve creature.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -1.1 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Common: rank 88 of 91
- Black: rank 31 of 34
- Cost 4: rank 43 of 44
- Average pick: 11.4 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy52.9 % · 20,018 games
- 2 copies52.9 % · 3,333 games
- 3 copies49.0 % · 239 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks52.3 % · 6,996 games
- Next two weeks51.8 % · 2,250 games
- After that54.3 % · 902 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Jeskai Devotee1,260 games · 56.5 % (instead of 53.0% expected)
- Host of the Hereafter2,904 games · 54.5 % (instead of 51.1% expected)
- Inspirited Vanguard2,476 games · 54.9 % (instead of 51.7% expected)
- Hollowmurk Siege1,738 games · 53.7 % (instead of 51.0% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Shock Brigade3,535 games · 51.4 % (instead of 54.0% expected)
- Sibsig Appraiser1,230 games · 51.5 % (instead of 54.0% expected)
- Zurgo's Vanguard1,789 games · 52.2 % (instead of 54.4% expected)
Where it is played
B/W · 28 %
Played in 4.3% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
19. Revival of the Ancestors
7.9
25. Neriv, Heart of the Storm
7.6
27. Scavenger Regent // Exude Toxin
7.5
31. Fangkeeper's Familiar
7.4
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.