Wail of War
Uncommon · Instant
4.8WeakRank 198 of 271
55.2%Rank 144 of 274 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.0%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
It wins more than its rating suggests.
Why this gap?
The pick rating is a prior: it is for choosing a card before there are results. The observed strength comes from real games, and the win rate of a card is stable from one week to the next. The gap often comes from a card that is easy to replace at the pick but very efficient once played, from a good archetype that carries it, or from a flaw of our rating: in a set that already has many games, the results are more reliable than the rating.
A solid playable that rarely gets cut (4.8/10).
Why. A three-mana instant with two modes: creatures target opponent controls get -1/-1 until end of turn, or return up to two creature cards from your graveyard to your hand. It works as a trick against small creatures or as value recovery.
Risks. Neither mode is direct removal. The first only kills tiny creatures, the second needs a stocked graveyard.
In the draft. A decent black value uncommon. Take it after removal, especially if your deck trades creatures often.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +2.2 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Uncommon: rank 70 of 100
- Black: rank 16 of 34
- Cost 3: rank 45 of 60
- Average pick: 8.7 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy53.5 % · 24,306 games
- 2 copies53.6 % · 692 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks54.8 % · 6,909 games
- Next two weeks53.3 % · 2,540 games
- After that56.0 % · 1,113 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Severance Priest904 games · 58.1 % (instead of 52.3% expected)
- Neriv, Heart of the Storm494 games · 58.1 % (instead of 53.7% expected)
- Desperate Measures1,977 games · 55.2 % (instead of 51.7% expected)
- Mardu Siegebreaker1,405 games · 55.6 % (instead of 52.8% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Nature's Rhythm206 games · 46.1 % (instead of 49.9% expected)
- Duty Beyond Death1,720 games · 50.8 % (instead of 54.4% expected)
- Narset's Rebuke1,331 games · 50.1 % (instead of 53.2% expected)
Other cards of the same cost and colours
10. Qarsi Revenant
8.5
36. Zurgo, Thunder's Decree
7.2
40. Awaken the Honored Dead
7.1
53. Avenger of the Fallen
6.8
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.