First-Time Flyer
Common · Creature — Human Pilot Ally
5.4PlayableRank 149 of 281
56.4%Rank 111 of 279 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
A solid playable that rarely gets cut (5.4/10).
Why. A two-mana 1/2 flier that becomes a 2/3 as soon as a Lesson is in your graveyard. It blocks small fliers and attacks in the air, especially in blue decks with Lessons.
Risks. Without a Lesson in the graveyard it's a 1/2 that hits for little. A cheap removal or a bigger flier shuts it down.
In the draft. A decent blue two-drop for an evasive deck. It gets good with a few Lessons in your deck but stays a mid-list playable.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +1.6 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Common: rank 26 of 91
- Blue: rank 26 of 40
- Cost 2: rank 41 of 74
- Average pick: 6.4 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy55.6 % · 74,685 games
- 2 copies56.4 % · 28,464 games
- 3 copies56.5 % · 6,330 games
- 4 copies or more57.0 % · 1,294 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks56.9 % · 30,707 games
- Next two weeks56.4 % · 17,021 games
- After that57.1 % · 12,867 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Ran and Shaw5,838 games · 58.7 % (instead of 56.4% expected)
- Energybending3,426 games · 54.2 % (instead of 52.5% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Earth King's Lieutenant1,301 games · 53.3 % (instead of 57.2% expected)
Where it is played
U/W · 65 %R/U · 55 %
Played in 20% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
1. Wan Shi Tong, Librarian
9.4
56. Knowledge Seeker
6.8
63. Benevolent River Spirit
6.6
69. Hermitic Herbalist
6.6
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.