Waterbending Lesson
Common · Sorcery — Lesson
5.6PlayableRank 144 of 281
56.6%Rank 99 of 279 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
Good playable that always makes the cut (5.6/10).
Why. A sorcery that draws three cards, then discards one unless you Waterbend 2. By tapping creatures or artifacts you keep all three. A good value source.
Risks. Four mana with no board impact costs you tempo if you're under pressure. Without two mana or two permanents to tap, you discard a card.
In the draft. A good blue draw common, useful in a controlling deck or one with many creatures. It counts as a Lesson for the cards that care.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +1.9 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Common: rank 24 of 91
- Blue: rank 23 of 40
- Cost 4: rank 24 of 52
- Average pick: 6.8 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy56.3 % · 112,223 games
- 2 copies56.3 % · 20,926 games
- 3 copies56.2 % · 997 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks57.1 % · 31,716 games
- Next two weeks57.0 % · 18,851 games
- After that56.6 % · 14,317 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Ruinous Waterbending1,922 games · 55.5 % (instead of 52.2% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Destined Confrontation549 games · 45.7 % (instead of 50.7% expected)
- Vengeful Villagers652 games · 49.7 % (instead of 54.5% expected)
Where it is played
R/U · 62 %B/U · 57 %
Played in 24% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
3. The Legend of Kuruk // Avatar Kuruk
9.1
43. Avatar Aang // Aang, Master of Elements
7.0
76. Guru Pathik
6.4
97. Teo, Spirited Glider
6.2
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.